Aurora borealis
Our Story

Built by aurora chasers,
for aurora chasers.

PolarForecast started with a frozen camera tripod, a terrible forecast, and a cloudless night wasted in Tromsø. We knew there had to be a better way. Two years later, we're the forecast 200,000 aurora chasers rely on every year.

200K+
Yearly aurora chasers
22
Forecast locations
NOAA
Primary data source
<1 min
Data refresh rate
2023
Year founded
Free
Core forecast, always

Make the science readable.
Keep it honest.

NOAA publishes space weather data freely. The problem was never the data — it was the translation. Raw satellite telemetry doesn't tell a first-time traveller whether to drive out at midnight or go to sleep. That gap is what PolarForecast was built to close.

We believe in transparency. Every number on PolarForecast traces back to a primary source — NOAA's SWPC, the DSCOVR satellite, NASA, or ESA. If the forecast is poor, we say so. We don't manufacture optimism.

The core forecast will always be free. Premium features fund the infrastructure. The lights belong to everyone.

EH
Esten Hoffmann
Founder & Developer

Built PolarForecast solo — combining a long-standing obsession with the northern lights and a background in web technology. Every design choice, data integration, and editorial piece on this site was made with genuine care for the people using it.

info@polarforecast.com →
Data sources

Where the numbers come from

Every measurement on PolarForecast is sourced from institutional scientific data. No black boxes, no proprietary models — you can verify every number.

🛰️
NOAA SWPC
Space Weather Prediction Center

KP index, 3-day geomagnetic forecasts, and real-time alert thresholds. The world's primary civil space weather authority.

🌞
DSCOVR Satellite
Solar Wind — L1 Lagrange Point

Real-time solar wind speed, density, and Bz from 1.5 million km upstream of Earth. The only early-warning system for incoming geomagnetic storms.

🔭
NASA / GOES
X-ray Flux & Solar Flares

Geostationary satellite data for solar flare classification. X-class flares precede major CME events by 1–3 days, giving us advance storm warning.

🧲
GFZ Potsdam
Kp Index Archive & Research

The German Research Centre for Geosciences maintains the official Kp index derivation methodology and provides historical data for calibration.

☁️
OpenWeather / MET
Cloud Cover & Visibility

Location-specific cloud cover forecasts layered with geomagnetic data to produce a combined viewing probability — not just raw KP.

🌍
ESA Space Weather
European Space Agency

Supplemental solar activity monitoring and CME propagation modelling for cross-validation of NOAA forecasts.

How we got here

2023
PolarForecast launches
A single-page real-time aurora forecast. KP index, cloud cover, tonight's probability — nothing more.
2024 Q1
Location pages go live
Tromsø, Alta, Lofoten, Alaska, Iceland, Scotland — dedicated forecasts for the six most-searched aurora destinations.
2024 Q4
Chaser Stories section
Real traveller accounts from around the world. Because data alone doesn't capture why people chase the lights.
2025
22 destinations, full rebuild
Complete redesign on Next.js App Router. Editorial content, SEO guides, and user accounts with saved locations and alert preferences.
2025–26
200K+ users annually
PolarForecast becomes one of Europe's most-visited independent aurora forecast services.
NOAA · NASA · ESA dataFree foreverNo trackingUpdated every minute

Ready to check tonight's forecast?

Live KP index, solar wind, cloud cover, and viewing probability — all in one place, always free.

Live aurora forecast →Our data sources